Hello, this is Oing.
What do you rely on for your investments? Is it a gut feeling? Or a quote from a celebrity in the news? Countless office workers and side-hustle aspirants throw their valuable assets into the market based on their ‘hunch.’ However, the market, especially capitalism, pays no attention to your emotions. Only data and execution survive.
Today, I want to talk about Bitcoin, the asset that offers the greatest opportunities despite its high volatility. I will analyze the pattern of Bitcoin’s monthly returns over the past decade and directly address what this data suggests as practical advice for your growth as an economic agent. If you want a realistic strategy based on numbers, not vague hope, read this article to the end.
The September Curse: The Capitalist Clock’s ‘Rest Period’
There is a piece of data most investors tend to overlook: Bitcoin’s average monthly returns. Over 12 months, there is historically one overwhelmingly ‘worst month.’ That month is September.
Analysis of Bitcoin’s monthly returns over the past 10 years shows that the average return for September is a stark -4.37%. Furthermore, it recorded a continuous decline for six years from 2017 to 2022. This is not a coincidence. At this level, it must be viewed as a pattern, a cycle created by the psychology of market participants.
Why September? Frankly, you don’t need to try and dissect the exact reason. It is nearly impossible for an individual investor to perfectly analyze the macro-economic causes of a September decline. What’s important is recognizing the pattern and acting.
Most investors hesitate to buy in September due to ‘what ifs’ or panic sell out of fear of the drop. Listen, you need to know this: The moment everyone is trembling with fear is the very moment for a courageous economic agent to move. Think of the September dip as a period when the market temporarily closes for a sale, allowing you to acquire assets cheaply. The person who secures capital and prepares cash during this time will seize the October opportunity.
The October Euphoria: Execution Alone Determines the Return
If September is the ‘Month of Capital Acquisition,’ what comes next? It is the ‘Month of Profit Realization.’
Historically, Bitcoin’s average October return has been +22.90%, ranking as one of the two highest figures among all months. Except for a few instances like 2014 and 2018, October has mostly shown powerful rallies.
What does this data teach us?
- The market moves with a ‘pattern.’
- It rewards the courageous ‘executor.’
The person who only ‘holds on,’ paralyzed by fear while watching the market drop in September, regrets it in October, thinking, ‘I knew this would happen.’ This is the typical behavior of an average investor. We must not be that person.
We must read the market data and act without emotion. Whether the price of Bitcoin drops in September or not, proceed with consistent buying according to your portfolio allocation. Execute concentrated ‘dollar-cost averaging’ specifically in September. Then, enjoy the fruits of your labor as the market begins to recover in early October.
Financial freedom is not granted to those who merely sit and think. Only those who boldly execute action, capture opportunities within the capitalist system, and embrace risk can move to the next level.
The Mindset for Growth as an Economic Agent
Ultimately, investing in Bitcoin goes beyond simple financial planning; it is a matter of life attitude.
Many search for a ‘secret formula’ to get rich, but the formula is simple: Read the data, overcome fear, and execute.
In the reality we face—a capitalist structure where continuous earning is essential for survival—Bitcoin’s monthly pattern gives us a crucial lesson: ‘Opportunity only comes to those who are prepared.’
Do not stop investing, using the September bear market as an excuse. Instead, utilize September as the ‘Month to prepare the capital for a side hustle to take the next leap.’ And in the October bull market that follows, invest that capital boldly. Every small ‘execution’ you make signifies your growth as an economic agent.
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